A review of methods for the assessment of prediction errors in conservation presence/absence models |
Fielding, Alan H. and Bell, John F. |
1997 |
species distribution modeling, model uncertainty |
A taxonomy and treatment of uncertainty for ecology and conservation biology |
Regan, Helen M., Mark Colyvan, and Mark A. Burgman |
2002 |
model uncertainty, epistemology, biodiversity management |
Artificial amplification of warming trends across the mountains of the western United States |
Oyler, Jared W., Dobrowski, Solomon Z., Ballantyne, Ashley P., Klene, Anna E., and Running, Steven W. |
2015 |
model uncertainty, climate change assessment, temperature trends |
Can we trust climate models? |
Hargreaves, J.C. and Annan, J. D. |
2014 |
climate modeling, downscaling, model uncertainty |
Choice of baseline climate data impacts projected species’ responses to climate change |
Baker, D J, A J Hartley, S. H M Butchart, and S G Willis. |
2016 |
model uncertainty, species distribution modeling, climate change impacts on biodiversity |
Climate change impacts on extreme events in the United States: an uncertainty analysis |
Monier, Erwan and Gao, Xiang |
2015 |
model uncertainty, extreme events, climate change projections |
Climate model genealogy |
Masson, D. and Knutti, R. |
2011 |
climate modeling, climate science, model uncertainty |
Communication of the role of natural variability in future North American climate |
Deser, Clara, Reto Knutti, Susan Solomon, and Adam S. Phillips |
2012 |
communication about climate change, climate variability, model uncertainty |
Expert assessment of sea-level rise by AD 2100 and AD 2300 |
Horton, Benjamin P., Rahmstorf, Stefan, Engelhart, Simon E., and Kemp, Andrew C. |
|
sea level rise, climate change projections, model uncertainty |
Global and Regional Sea Level Rise Scenarios for the United States |
Sweet, William V., Robert E. Kopp, Christopher P. Weaver, Jayantha Obeysekera, Radley M. Horton, E. Robert Thieler, and Chris Zervas |
January, 2017 |
sea level rise, model uncertainty, scenario planning |
Holism, entrenchment, and the future of climate model pluralism |
Lenhard, Johannes and Winsberg, Eric |
2010 |
climate science, model uncertainty, climate modeling |
Identifying conservation areas on the basis of alternative distribution data sets |
Underwood, Jared G., D'agrosa, Caterina, and Gerber, Leah R. |
2010 |
conservation planning, conservation prioritization, model uncertainty |
Modeling plant species distributions under future climates: how fine scale do climate projections need to be? |
Franklin, Janet, Davis, Frank W., Ikegami, Makihiko, Syphard, Alexandra D., Flint, Lorraine E., Flint, Alan L., and Hannah, Lee |
2013 |
species distribution modeling, plants, biodiversity, model uncertainty |
Niches, models, and climate change: Assessing the assumptions and uncertainties |
Wiens, J. A., Stralberg, Diana, Jongsomjit, Dennis, Howell, Christine A. and Snyder, Mark A. |
2009 |
species distribution modeling, model uncertainty |
Selecting climate simulations for impact studies based on multivariate patterns of climate change |
Mendlik, Thomas, and Andreas Gobiet |
2015 |
climate modeling, model uncertainty, statistical methods |
Selecting from correlated climate variables: a major source of uncertainty for predicting species distributions under climate change |
Braunisch, Veronika, Coppes, Joy, Arlettaz, Raphael, Suchant, Rudi, Schmid, Hans, and Bollmann, Kurt |
2013 |
statistical methods, species distribution modeling, model uncertainty, climate change projections |
Skill and independence weighting for multi-model assessments |
Sanderson, Benjamin M., Michael Wehner, and Reto Knutti |
2017 |
climate modeling, climate change projections, model uncertainty |
Spatial conservation priorities are highly sensitive to choice of biodiversity surrogates and species distribution model type |
Lentini, Pia E., and Brendan A. Wintle |
2015 |
conservation prioritization, species distribution modeling, model uncertainty |
Towards predictive understanding of regional climate change |
Xie, Shang-Ping, Clara Deser, Gabriel A. Vecchi, Matthew Collins, Thomas L. Delworth, Alex Hall, Ed Hawkins, Nathaniel C. Johnson, Christophe Cassou, Alessandra Giannini, and Masahiro Watanabe |
2015 |
regional climate models, model uncertainty |
Uncertainty analysis for regional-scale reserve selection |
Moilanen, Atte, Wintle, Brendan A., Elith, Jane, and Burgman, Mark |
2006 |
model uncertainty, conservation prioritization, biodiversity management |
Values and uncertainties in climate prediction, revisited |
Parker, Wendy |
2014 |
model uncertainty, epistemology, climate science |
Values and uncertainties in the predictions of global climate models |
Winsberg, Eric |
2012 |
climate science, climate modeling, model uncertainty |
When do conservation planning methods deliver? Quantifying the consequences of uncertainty |
Langford, William T., Gordon, Ascelin, and Bastin, Lucy |
2009 |
model uncertainty, conservation planning, conservation prioritization |