CA LCC Project

Sea-level rise modeling across the California salt marsh gradient

Project Information

Phase 1 (2011): This project uses bottom-up modeling at a parcel scale to measure the effects of sea-level rise (SLR) on coastal ecosystems and tidal salt marshes. At selected tidal marshes, the project team will measure several parameters that will be incorporated into ArcGIS models creating comparable datasets across the Pacific coast tidal gradient with a focus on 2-4 sites in the California LCC (e.g. San Diego, San Francisco Bay Refuges). The ultimate goal is to provide science support tools for local adaptation planning from the bottom-up that may be implemented under a structured decision-making framework.
Please see this article about Phase 1 of this project: Modeling Sea-Level Rise in San Francisco Bay Estuary.

Science Delivery Phase (2013): The objectives are to: (1) Disseminate site-specific baseline data and modeling results, reveal coast-wide trends, and identify data gaps; (2) Identify how local climate science results may be incorporated into habitat conservation, planning, and adaptation strategies; and (3) Recruit stakeholder involvement in developing a decision-making tool (Envision). Workshops will be held in each of the 3-6 areas to present study results and solicit visits with managers over 2-3 days. In addition, stakeholder involvement will be recruited at 1-3 areas to develop a decision-making tool that incorporates climate change projections in management alternatives.

Please see this article about the Science Delivery Phase of this project: Pacific Coast Sea-Level Rise Workshops.

Full Proposal Title: 
Phase 1 (2011): Sea-level rise modeling across the California salt marsh gradient for resource managers: evaluation of methodology. Science Delivery Phase (2013): Science communication and delivery of nearshore climate change impacts to natural resource managers in support of decision-making.
Project Lead: 
Karen Thorne, kthorne@usgs.gov
Status: 
Completed
Starting Date: 
2011-07
Ending Date: 
2015-12
Total LCC Funding: 
145000
Total Matching or In-Kind Funds: 
226059
Attachments

Products of this project

Title Deliverable Type Release Datesort descending Commons Catalog Record or External Link
Project Website Website Oct 2012
Final Report for Sea-Level Rise Response Modeling for San Francisco Bay Estuary Tidal Marshes Report Dec 2012
Ecological effects of climate change on salt marsh wildlife: a case study from a highly urbanized estuary Publication : Article Dec 2012
Importance of biogeomorphic and spatial properties in assessing a tidal salt marsh vulnerability to sea-level rise Publication : Article Dec 2013
CA LCC webinar Training / Outreach / Workshop : Webinar Mar 2014
CERCC Fact Sheet published in "Climate Change" Newsletter, Western Ecological Research Center Publication : Article Jun 2014
Even a marsh can drown Publication : Article Sep 2014
Dissemination Workshop: Tijuana Slough Training / Outreach / Workshop Nov 2014
Dissemination Workshop: Seal Beach Training / Outreach / Workshop Nov 2014
Dissemination Workshop: San Pablo Bay Training / Outreach / Workshop Nov 2014
Dissemination Workshop: Humboldt Bay Training / Outreach / Workshop Nov 2014
Dissemination Workshop: Siletz Bay Training / Outreach / Workshop Nov 2014
Dissemination Workshop: Willapa Bay Training / Outreach / Workshop Nov 2014
Dissemination Workshop: Nisqually River Training / Outreach / Workshop Nov 2014
Fate of endangered species in the San Francisco Bay salt marshes with sea-level rise Report Dec 2014
Marsh Elevation Datasets / Database Jan 2015
Vegetation Datasets / Database Jan 2015
Effects of climate change on tidal marshes along a latitudinal gradient in California Datasets / Database Jan 2015
Bed sediment flux Datasets / Database Jan 2015
Marsh Accretion Datasets / Database Jan 2015
Continuous Digital Elevation Models (DEMs) Datasets / Database Jan 2015
Sediment Transport Models Datasets / Database Jan 2015
Habitat Response Models Datasets / Database Jan 2015
Paleo-accretion Information Datasets / Database Jan 2015
SLR response model Datasets / Database Jan 2015
Final Report: Assessing coastal manager science needs and disseminating science results for planning Report Feb 2016